24-25

GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Sun Jan 26, 2025

Snowpack and Avalanche Discussion

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Snowfall on Friday favored the mountains near Bozeman and Big Sky with up to 8” of low density snow, and last Wednesday the Bridger Range had 16-20” of very low density snow (0.2-0.3” SWE). Even the lightest winds were able to transport this snow into thin soft slabs, and today’s stiff wind in the Bridger Range will form thicker fresh drifts that will be easy to trigger. Be alert for these </span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><span>wind slabs</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span> across many elevations and mid-slope, not just near the prominent ridgelines.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>The recent snow fell on weak layers of surface hoar&nbsp;and small sugary facets (Buck Ridge </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/33832"><span><span><span><span><span><… Basin (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/33810"><span><span><span><span><span><…;, Beehive Basin </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/33824"><span><span><span><span><span><…;) which might make fresh wind slabs unstable for longer than usual. On Friday thin soft slabs broke naturally and were easily triggered (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/33834"><span><span><span><strong><span…;). Pay attention to how deep the new snow is and think about the consequences of that new snow avalanching before getting on a steep slope. Watch for shooting cracks and recent avalanches as signs the new snow is unstable.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Avalanches breaking deeper are unlikely. If you’re happy with the stability of the most recent snow, dig down a couple feet to make sure older wind slabs are also well-bonded. The avalanche danger is MODERATE.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Near Cooke City and West Yellowstone a person can trigger avalanches that break many feet deep on weak snow near the bottom of the snowpack. A recent very large </span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><span>persistent slab avalanche</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span> broke south of Cooke City within the last 2-3 days, and shows these remain possible (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/33847"><span><span><span><strong><span…;). Although these huge slides have become difficult to trigger, they have unsurvivable consequences and require careful terrain selection. Additionally, wind slab avalanches 1-2 feet deep can be triggered where recent snow was drifted into stiffer or thicker slabs. Avoid big wind-loaded slopes with variable snow depth that might have thin spots as potential trigger points for deep avalanches. Choose smaller slopes with clean runouts generally free of trees, rocks or cliffs. The avalanche danger is MODERATE.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Near Island Park there has been less snow over the last couple weeks, allowing the snowpack to become more stable, and avalanches are unlikely. Unlikely does not mean impossible, so if you travel on slopes steeper than 30 degrees keep in mind weak layers that are buried near the bottom of the snowpack and below thin slabs of recently drifted snow. You can hedge your bets of not triggering deeper persistent slab avalanches by choosing slopes with minimal previous wind-loading and a generally uniform snow depth. Stay alert for fresh soft slabs that may be large enough to be harmful in isolated areas, and remember even a small slide can easily push you off a cliff or into trees. Carry rescue gear and expose only one person at a time to avalanche terrain. Human-triggered avalanches are unlikely and the avalanche danger is LOW.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

KING AND QUEEN OF THE RIDGE

Do you like to hike? Do you like to ski/ride? Then the King & Queen of the Ridge on 2/1 is for you. Hike, ride and raise money for the Friends of the Avalanche Center at Bridger Bowl this year! Join this fun event to promote and support avalanche safety and awareness! Fundraising prizes for the top 5 individuals who raise over $500.

Large Persistent Slab Avalanche in Hayden Creek

Hayden Creek
Cooke City
Code
SS-N-R3-D3-O
Aspect
NE
Latitude
44.99520
Longitude
-109.90800
Notes

While touring today, we saw a deep slab avalanche at the southern end of the Hayden Creek drainage. NE aspect. It seemed to be recent, likely in the last day or so.

Number of slides
1
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Soft slab avalanche
Trigger
Natural trigger
R size
3
D size
3
Bed Surface
O - Old snow
Problem Type
Persistent Weak Layer
Snow Observation Source
Slab Thickness units
centimeters
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Single Avalanche
Advisory Year

While touring today, we saw a deep slab avalanche at the southern end of the Hayden Creek drainage. NE aspect. It seemed to be recent, likely in the last day or so. Photo: N Mattes

Cooke City, 2025-01-25

Deep Slab Avalanche in Hayden Creek

Date
Activity
Snowboarding

While touring today, we saw a deep slab avalanche at the southern end of the Hayden Creek drainage. NE aspect. It seemed to be recent, likely in the last day or so.

Region
Cooke City
Location (from list)
Hayden Creek
Observer Name
N Mattes

Sheep Creek Obs

Date
Activity
Skiing

Here are our observations from Cooke City today. Our plan was to tour up the south side of Miller Mountain as far as we felt comfortable. Winds were mostly calm during the day, and temperatures were darn-right cold all day, even on southerly aspects. It was -26F when we pulled into town.

The sheep creek drainage had a lot of evidence of prior wind transport, most non-sheltered aspects had textured snow. We dug a pit at 9600’, HS was 190cm! At 150cm above the ground, we encountered a 1cm thick melt-freeze crust with small facets forming over it’s surface. We also noted 4-finger basal facets all the way at the ground.

Our ECT produced nothing terribly remarkable. ECTN25 and ECTN26 on the melt-freeze crust. It could be a layer to look out for in the near-future. The snow above treeline began to stiffen, so we ripped skins around 10k feet and had a lovely ski down.
 

Region
Cooke City
Location (from list)
Sheep Creek
Observer Name
R Parsons

No activity with poorer than expected riding conditions

Date
Activity
Snowmobiling

1 to 3 inches of new snow on top of a very hard base nearly every where with evidence of past wind affect. Condition were Sunny with calm winds and temperatures in the single digits. we saw no avalanche activity cause by snowmobilers or people actively skiing the Hollywood wall. Lots of people around.

Region
Bridger Range
Location (from list)
Battle Ridge
Observer Name
Sandy Jett. Arianna Knight

History Rock Obs

Date
Activity
Skiing

It was a beautiful, cold, clear-few, morning with very little wind. 

HS ~140cm on an E/SE aspect at 7500'. HN24 of ~10-20cm between 7500-8500'. HN is light and unconsolidated with no evidence of wind transport. A thin, breakable MF crust was observed in similar elv. bands in east-facing trees below the new snow. Two hand shears had planar results on this layer but snow above the crust did not have slabby characteristics. No cracking or collapsing was observed. L-ASc-R1-D1-I sluffs occurred while skiing.

Region
Northern Gallatin
Location (from list)
History Rock
Observer Name
E. Webb

Pebble Cr YNP Observation

Date
Activity
Skiing

Toured into Pebble Cr drainage. 

2 to 4" of new, low density snow. 

Saw evidence of wind loading and two older, small slides on N facing aspects of some W - E sub ridge lines. Slides both appeared to be from wind loaded snow that broke right below the ridge line on the leeward side. 100 to 150' wide, 18" deep and running for 100 to 200'.

No cracking or collapsing found on any aspect during the tour and we couldn't get anything to move.

Nice snow wherever you could find a wind protected area. 

Region
Out of Advisory Area
Location (from list)
Barronette Peak
Observer Name
C. Robinson